## Internet Dying ## ## $Id: dying.atm,v 1.5 2004/02/09 01:46:36 rho Exp $ internet-health-report (web-site) bn: Internet Health Report oc: http://www.internethealthreport.com/ oc: http://www1.internetpulse.net/ in: high level status information between major ISPs -- agents on each backbone ping each other oc (agent-list): http://www.keynote.com/agent_location/agent_location_tpl.html in: free version only contains US backbones (show-status-of) object: internet display: internet-health-report internet-storm-center (web-site) bn: Internet Storm Center in: diagrams about most frequent port scans -- 135, 80, 137 usually leading oc (homepage): http://isc.sans.org/ in (comment): web site ugly as hell (show-status-of) object: internet display: internet-storm-center (improves-health) organism: internet measure: pipe-scrubbing pipe-scrubbing bn: TCP/IP Pipe Scrubber - FREE in: this is fun -- THIS IS FUN, BELIEVE ME! oc: http://gbrockman.com/pipescrubber/ in: also available as Enterprise Edition #-- internet-dying (theory) bn: The Internet is Dying in (trend): Internet infrastructure will remain -- as a carrier for the big media -- carrier layer, infrastructure layer -- content layer in (observation): for many non-techies the Internet is a huge disappointment -- chaos, trash, fear, addiction in (opinion): Internet will become "a development that promises social control on a scale those\ quaint old 20th-century tyrants with their goofy moustaches could only dream about" oc (opinion): http://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/lessig/blog/archives/2003_05.shtml#001180 oc (opinion): http://www.circleid.com/article/215_0_1_0_C/ oc (media): http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/30733.html oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/22/36744.html #-- only few players (is-founded-on) foundation: only-few-players conclusion: internet-dying only-few-players (thesis) bn: There will only be a few players left in (content): AOL-TW, NewsCorp, Disney, Viacom in (logistics): AOL-TW, Viacom, MSN, ? in (carrier): BT, AT&T, SingTel, Sprint, ... in (ISP): CW, AOL, MSN, ? in (software): Microsoft (vertically diversified), IBM (riding on patents) -- Sun will survive? (is-supported-by) thesis: only-few-players observation: massive-company-concentration massive-company-concentration (mega-trend) bn: Massive concentrations in: not only media -- also in other sector (energy, infrastructure, ...) in: Microsoft buys whatever goes -- innovation in the face of MS? (is-subclass-of) superclass: massive-company-concentration subclass: media-concentration media-concentration bn: Media Concentration oc: http://www.sarahstirland.com/archives/mediacon.htm in: Berlusconism oc (quote): http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/n/noamchomsk143312.html media-concentration-australia (media-concentration) in: Rupert Murdoch and Kerry Packer -- casino, cable-TV, digital spectrum and broadband operation in: ninemsn partnership with .... Microsoft -- ninemsn.com.au homepage for every new PC in: all football, cricket, tennis rights #-- CDNs raising (is-supported-by) thesis: only-few-players observation: raise-content-delivery-networks raise-content-delivery-networks (trend) bn: Raise of CDNs in: CDNs distribute content to the periphery -- closer to the customer -- handled almost transparently -- branding remains in: CDNs co-locate special proxies with ISPs -- use their own hardware, software and protocols -- no more HTTP in: big players Akamai (12000 servers worldwide) -- Cisco CDN -- Digital Island oc: http://www.isp-planet.com/technology/cdn_connection.html oc (forecast): http://www.wintergreenresearch.com/reports/CDN.htm oc (media): http://www.nwfusion.com/news/2001/0924carrier.html #-- innovation controlled (is-reason-for) reason: only-few-players consequence: innovation-controlled innovation-controlled (mega-trend) bn: Innovation fully controlled in: no individual innovation -- only with patent lawyers in your back -- only big players can afford that in: start-ups stand little chance -- only goal is buy-out by a large player? in (example): ISO asks for royalties fro country codes in (example): SCO asks for UNIX licences in (example): Eolas ask for plugin licences in (consequence): Interfaces get more complicated -- scattered 'standards' in (consequence): innovation become marketing efforts (has-consequence) consequence: innovation-by-marketing reason: innovation-controlled innovation-by-marketing bn: Innovation by Marketing in: companies invent technologies so difficult to use that you need development environment -- which these companies sell #-- internet full of sick people (is-founded-on) foundation: full-sick-people conclusion: internet-dying full-sick-people (thesis) bn: Internet is full of sick people in: addicts, gamers, DVD-watchers, 24/7 porn surfers, child porn, religious fanatics, scammers, hackers, spammers, ID theaves (is-supported-by) thesis: full-sick-people observation: internet-addiction internet-addiction oc: http://www.ogaming.com/content/editorials-internetaddiction.php oc: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/2499957.stm in: South Korea has 25000! Internet Cafes -- 10 million broadband users in: 24-year-old Kim Kyung-jae collapsed and died after playing computer games at an internet cafe non-stop for 86 hours oc (definition): http://www.netaddiction.com/whatis.htm oc (media): http://www.media52.net/archives/000032.html oc (media): http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/32821.html #-- scam (is-subclass-of) superclass: crime subclass: cyber-crime cyber-crime oc (mail-archive): http://www.themezz.com/cybercrime/archive/ (is-subclass-of) superclass: crime subclass: fraudulent-activity (is-subclass-of) superclass: fraudulent-activity subclass: internet-scam internet-scam bn: Internet Scams in: Internet excellent tool for fraudsters in: via email -- chat in: get rich fast -- you have won in the lottery but you must pay a fee oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/33706.html oc (government-warning): http://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/cyberfraud.htm nigerian-scam (internet-scam) bn: Nigerian Scam in: 419 frauds -- third to fifth largest industry in Nigeria oc: http://home.rica.net/alphae/419coal/ oc: http://www.snopes2.com/inboxer/scams/nigeria.htm oc: http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=03/11/06/2042205 oc (example): http://www.quatloos.com/scams/nigerian.htm in (example): ....requested by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company to contact you for assistance in resolving a matter...\ move these funds to another region. oc: http://www.crimes-of-persuasion.com/Crimes/Business/nigerian.htm oc (use-case): http://www.geocities.com/a_kerenx/ oc (countermeasures): http://www.scamorama.com/ oc (example): http://sweetchillisauce.com/nigeria.html (is-supported-by) thesis: full-sick-people observation: internet-scam (perform-activity) activity: internet-scam person : scammer (is-supported-by) thesis: full-sick-people observation: metascam metascam bn: Meta Scam in: warning from scam -- information newsletter -- free checks oc (example): http://www.scambusters.org/ oc (example): http://www.scambusters.org/scamcheck.html oc (example): http://www.nigerianscams.org/ #-- spammers -------------------- (is-subclass-of) superclass: crime subclass: spamming (perform-activity) activity: spam person: spammer spam bn: SPAM oc (analysis): http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=488444 oc (clearing-house): http://spam.abuse.net/ oc (counter-measure): http://spamassassin.org/ oc (legal): http://www.spamlaws.com/ oc: http://www.paulgraham.com/spam.html CAUCE (organisation) bn: CAUCE, The Coalition Against Unsolicited Commercial Email oc: http://www.cauce.org/ oc (au): http://www.caube.org.au/ oc (eu): http://www.euro.cauce.org/ (is-opposed-to) opposition: CAUCE activity: spamming ## http://www.hostedscripts.com/scripts/antispam.html (is-supported-by) thesis: full-sick-people observation: spam #-- global search engines have problems (is-founded-on) foundation: dying-google conclusion: internet-dying dying-google (thesis) bn: Google will become useless in: search engines like google will become less and less useful -- their asset is the ranking --\ ranking will be undermined by the web itself in: link spammers: build huge farms of HTML pages linking to their primary site in: bombers: throwing huge amount of queries against the machine in: products: MoveableType blogs: trackbacking feature oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/35/33448.html oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/33366.html oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/33180.html oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/33141.html (is-reason-for) reason: trackback-blog-feature consequence: dying-google #in: (example): "OS X Panther" trackback-blog-feature (feature) bn: Moveable Type Trackback Feature oc: http://www.movabletype.org/docs/mtmanual_trackback.html in: auto-citation feature -- blogs referencing each other (is-feature-of) feature: trackback-blog-feature system: moveable-type moveable-type (product) bn: Moveable Type oc (manual): http://www.movabletype.org/docs/mtmanual.html google (company) bn: Google oc: http://www.google.com/ in: Microsoft wants to buy? http://www.infoworld.com/article/03/10/31/HNmsgoogle_1.html oc (critique): http://www.google-watch.org/email.html (is-relying-on-technology) entity: google technology: pagerank pagerank (search-engine-technology) oc: http://www.google.com/technology/ bn: PageRank (TM) in: interprets a link from page A to page B as a vote, by page A, for page B (has-problems) entity: pagerank problem: pagerank-problem pagerank-problem (negative-feature-list) oc: http://jeremy.zawodny.com/blog/archives/000751.html oc: http://a.wholelottanothing.org/archives.blah/007181 oc: http://www.kottke.org/03/08/030801topics_on_wh.html (is-acquired-by) buyer: google acqusition: sprinks #is reified http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/33584.html sprinks (company) oc: http://www.sprinks.com/ in: leading competitor to the two giants, Overture's Content Match and Google's Adsense Programs. (is-acquired-by) buyer: google acqusition: kaltix kaltix (company) bn: Kaltix in: personalized and context-sensitive search technology (is-acquired-by) buyer: google acqusition: applied-semantics applied-semantics (company) oc: http://www.appliedsemantics.com/company/index.html in: CIRCA ontology, which "understands, organizes, and extracts knowledge from websites and information repositories in a way that mimics human thought". #-- Internet Infrastructure endangered ------ (is-founded-on) foundation: internet-infrastructure-endangered conclusion: internet-dying internet-infrastructure-endangered (thesis) bn: Internet Infrastructure Endangered oc: http://www.eweek.com/print_article/0,3048,a=16844,00.asp oc: http://archive.infoworld.com/articles/hn/xml/01/10/24/011024hndos.xml oc @ year-1999 (study): http://www.nist.gov/itl/lab/bulletns/may99.htm in: protecting the perimeter -- protecting the core? in (countermeasure): massive overprovisioning -- replication -- diversified risk (is-endangered-by) object: internet-infrastructure threat: ddos-attacks internet-infrastructure (technical-infrastructure) bn: Internet Infrastructure in: all systems which guarantee the proper functioning of the core Internet -- routers -- root DNS in: major ISPs, CNN, Yahoo!, eBay, Microsoft, FBI, CERT -- do they belong to the infrastructure? ciag (alliance) bn: Critical Infrastructure Assurance Group, CIAG oc: http://www.cisco.com/security_services/ciag/ in: Cisco initiative -- awareness/education/training -- incident response -- research (is-part-of) part: root-dns-servers whole: internet-infrastructure (is-part-of) part: web-service whole: internet-infrastructure (is-part-of) part: user-client-machines whole: internet-infrastructure #-- DDoSes ----------------------------------------- (is-subclass-of) superclass: network-attack subclass: ddos-attacks ddos-attacks bn: DDoS Attacks oc: http://www.cs3-inc.com/pk_generalrelease.html in (study): 4000 DoS attacks each week in: difficult to cope with -- bogus requests from thousands of machines across the network in: usually completely automated (is-used-by) user: ddos-attacks used: zombied-machine (is-used-by) user: ddos-attacks used: router (is-subclass-of) superclass: networked-device subclass: zombied-machine zombied-machine bn: Zombie(d) Machine in: under the control of hacker(s) -- usually remote control in: usually machines with high bandwidth but low user understanding #- reasons (are-facilitated-by) facility: windows-computer-vulnerabilities activity: ddos-attacks windows-computer-vulnerabilities (computer-vulnerability) in: 94% of all consumer client software is Windows based (IDC) -- 97% of all desktops use Windows (onestat.com, 2002) in: steady increase in the ability for intruders to easily deploy large DDoS attack networks in (history): code red, nimda, Sobig, Kurnikova, Slammer, .... in (costs): estimate 30 billions USD per worm -- 100 billion USD p.a. (mi2g Ltd, 2002) in: patches as service packs: aggregated, not immediate -- patches are cumbersome to install (download, click, click, click)\ -- the 'Microsoft Experience' (are-consequence-of) consequence: computer-vulnerabilities prerequsition: windows-complexity windows-complexity bn: Windows Complexity in: Windows API has thousands of system calls -- compared to a few hundred in other OSes -- source code increases by 35% p.a. in: Windows has to look for much backwards compatibility -- complex change management -- marketing driven feature creep in: Windows is 'tightly integrated' (aka monolithic) -- no room for 3rd party except for HW drivers -- OS lock-in in: Windows applications (MSIE) are tightly integrated -- application lock-in -- increase 200% in size p.a. in (consequence): sucessful strategy to lock out competition -- will be used with Longhorn as well (new API, new file system) in (observation): law of diminishing return (80:20) in (consequence): fixing one flaw introduces others (are-facilitated-by) facility: moores-law activity: ddos-attacks moores-law (empirical-law) bn: Moore's Law in: Gordon Moore, 1965: IC density increase is exponential over time oc (paper): ftp://download.intel.com/research/silicon/moorespaper.pdf oc: http://www.intel.com/research/silicon/mooreslaw.htm oc: http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/M/Moores_Law.html oc: http://info.astrian.net/jargon/terms/m/Moore_s_Law.html oc (analysis): http://www.firstmonday.dk/issues/issue7_11/tuomi/ oc: http://www.arstechnica.com/paedia/m/moore/moore-1.html in (consequence): currently CPU power doubles every 18 months in (consequence): computing power on the Internet doubles every 10 months in (consequence): storage density per dollar doubles every 9 months (are-facilitated-by) facility: metcalfes-law activity: ddos-attacks metcalfes-law (empirical-law) bn: Metcalfe's Law oc: http://www.mgt.smsu.edu/mgt487/mgtissue/newstrat/metcalfe.htm in: "value" or "power" of a network increases in proportion to the square of the number of nodes on the network oc: http://rhonabwy.com/productsAreNetworks.html oc: http://www.nautilus.org/info-policy/axioms/axiom1.html oc: http://www-ec.njit.edu/~robertso/infosci/metcalf.html oc: http://www.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metcalfe's_law oc: http://searchnetworking.techtarget.com/sDefinition/0,,sid7_gci214115,00.html oc: http://www.nwfusion.com/links/Encyclopedia/M/771.html oc (analysis): http://webword.com/moving/metcalfe.html (has-postulated) postulate: metcalfes-law person: robert-metcalfe (has-invented) inventor: robert-metcalfe invention: ethernet-protocol (has-founded) founder: robert-metcalfe organisation: 3com 3COM (company) bn: 3COM (are-facilitated-by) facility: reeds-law activity: ddos-attacks reeds-law (empirical-law) bn: Reed's Law in: people organized in groups -- value increase exponentially -- much faster growth than predicted by Metcalfe's Law in: mailing lists -- chat rooms -- true ? -- usenet trolls oc: http://www.reed.com/Papers/GFN/reedslaw.html oc: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reed's_law oc (analysis): http://arnoldkling.com/~arnoldsk/aimst3/aimst304.html oc (consequence-virus): http://www.atomiq.org/archives/000726.html oc (consequence-virus): http://www.cs.unm.edu/~immsec/publications/Email%20Networks%20and%20the%20Spread%20of%20Computer%20Viruses.pdf (are-facilitated-by) facility: roberts-law activity: ddos-attacks roberts-law (empirical-law) bn: Robert's Law in: skill of user is reciprocal with the processing power on the desktop (are-negatively-impacted-by) impact: gates-law activity: ddos-attacks gates-law (empirical-law) bn: Gates' Law in: The speed of software halves every 18 months -- bloatware syndrom oc: http://info.astrian.net/jargon/terms/g/Gates_s_Law.html #-- ebay attacked eBay (web-service) bn: eBay oc (homepage): http://www.ebay.com/ (is-attacked-via) weapon : ddos-attacks victim: ebay # reifies assoc above ebay-attacks (attack) bn: eBay attacks in: 2000 -- Tribe Flood Network, Trinity and Stacheldraht -- ICMP floods -- Mafiaboy (schoolboy, was caught eventually) #-- core routers (is-attacked-via) weapon : ddos-attacks victim: core-routers #-- root DNS root-dns-servers oc: http://www.spacedaily.com/news/internet-03f.html oc (analysis): http://www.caida.org/projects/dns-analysis/ (is-attacked-via) weapon : ddos-attacks victim: root-dns-servers # reifies associ above root-dns-server-attacks in: 13 root DNS servers -- hold TLD data, .edu -- .com .net .org (moved to somewhere else?) in: 5000 - 12000 queries per second -- DoS attack 38000 per second -- saturates all bandwidth oc (study): http://www.caida.org/outreach/presentations/ietf0112/dns.damage.html in: using root servers as 'deflectors' -- faked source address kills victim in: actually a majority of request is already bogus (broken MS resolver, leaked 1918 queries, ...) in: Oct 21, 2002 all 13 were attacked simultaneously -- attack from South Korea? -- 80,000 zombie machines in South Korea oc (analysis): http://www.caida.org/projects/dns-analysis/oct02dos.xml oc (media): http://amo.net/NT/10-23-02DOS.html oc (media): http://www.internetnews.com/dev-news/article.php/1486981 in (countermeasure): massive overprovisioning oc (media): http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/29/27731.html oc (countermeasure): http://ops.ietf.org/lists/namedroppers/namedroppers.2002/msg01936.html oc (countermeasure): http://www.govtech.net/news/news.phtml?docid=2002.11.07-3030000000028145 oc (media): http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn?pagename=article&node=&contentId=A46872-2002Oct31¬Found=true oc (countermeasure): http://isp-lists.isp-planet.com/isp-dns/0210/msg00093.html oc (media): http://zdnet.com.com/2100-1107-979650.html oc (media): http://news.com.com/2100-1001-963005.html?part=wht&tag=wtop (is-affiliated-with) affiliate: johannes-ullrich affiliation: internet-storm-center role : cto (is-affiliated-with) affiliate: louis-touton affiliation: ICANN role : vice-president ICANN bn: ICANN (is-affiliated-with) affiliate: paul-vixie affiliation: ISC role : chairman ISC (organisation) bn: Internet Software Consortium caida (organisation) bn: CAIDA, Cooperative Association for Internet Data Analysis in: located near SDSC oc (homepage): http://www.caida.org/ (is-affiliated-with) affiliation: caida affiliate: duane-wessels role: researcher #-- (is-founded-on) foundation: few-companies-will-control-technology conclusion: internet-dying few-companies-will-control-technology (thesis) (is-supported-by) thesis: few-companies-will-control-technology observation: eolas-case eolas-case (patent-discourse) bn: Eolas against W3C oc (discussion): http://lists.w3.org/Archives/Public/public-web-plugins/2003Oct/thread.html oc (news): http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/33692.html oc (news): http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/4/32281.html oc (news): http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/4/33281.html oc (view): http://www.mozillazine.org/talkback.html?article=3786 oc (discussion): http://lists.w3.org/Archives/Public/public-web-plugins/2003Oct/thread.html in: Eolas Technologies Inc. sued Microsoft -- claiming infringement on embedding objects into HTML -- Eolas got $521 million --\ MSIE will change in a not-backward-compatible way (is-supported-by) thesis: few-companies-will-control-technology observation: sco-case sco-case (patent-discourse) bn: SCO against the UNIX world oc (analysis): http://www.groklaw.net/article.php?story=20031022014413296 (is-supported-by) thesis: few-companies-will-control-technology observation: microsoft-monopoly-tactics microsoft-monopoly-tactics (monopoly) bn: Microsoft monopolist tactics in (analysis): Microsoft is using APIs and file formats to outflank and lock out competition --\ Antitrust has disrupted Microsoft's efforts to bundle its client OS with other applications (Michael Silver, Gartner analyst) in: new APIs: WinFX against Java APIs -- WinFS: many vendors loose control on the store oc (article): http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/7/36777.html (is-supported-by) thesis: few-companies-will-control-technology observation: iso-asks-for-royalties-cc iso-asks-for-royalties-cc bn: ISO asks for royalites of Country Codes oc: http://www.xml.com/pub/a/2003/09/24/deviant.html (is-supported-by) thesis: few-companies-will-control-technology observation: palladium palladium bn: Palladium, Next Generation Secure Computing Base in: CPU built-in "security" -- mainly for identifying hardware in: hardware platform to implement copyright enforcement applications (DVD, CD, ...) -- DRM in: may be based on an additional TCPA-compliant chip on the board -- may be within the processor itself in: 'parallel OS' secure kernel, the "Nexus" -- does not necessarily run all times -- only when an agent (e.g. player) needs it oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/3/33640.html in: 3rd party applications use 'secure components to establish trust' oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/archive/28016.html in: create shadowed memory where code can execute but you can't debug it oc: http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/archive/28016.html (is-compliant-with) compliance: TCPA technology: palladium TCPA (alliance) bn: Trusted Computing Platform Alliance (TCPA) (is-used-for) means : palladium user : microsoft use : enforcing-media-copyrights (is-used-for) means : palladium user : microsoft use : reducing-windows-based-security-flaws (is-used-for) means : palladium user : microsoft use : locking-out-non-windows-os (is-used-for) means : palladium user : microsoft use : us-national-security-enforcement locking-out-non-windows-os (suspicion) us-national-security-enforcement (suspicion) in: FBI, NSA are your friend enforcing-media-copyrights bn: Enforcing Media Rights in: software theft, CD burning, file sharing in (means): watermarking in (means): massive web scans (university sites) in: RIAA against 15yo -- students -- universities #-- malware (is-founded-on) foundation: malware-will-never-stop conclusion: internet-dying malware-will-never-stop (thesis) bn: Malware will never stop in: worms, virusses (viri), popups in: wireless networks increasingly popular -- new form of attacks -- lets wait for Bluetooth in: massive low-speed scans underway -- something big is going to happen in: usual suspects: Microsoft IIS, Microsoft Exchange, and the various P2P and AOL/MSN messenger (is-subclass-of) superclass: digital-pathogen subclass: malware malware bn: Malware, Malicious Software oc: http://www.securityfocus.com/infocus/1695 oc: http://www.securityfocus.com/infocus/1698 (is-subclass-of) superclass: malware subclass: internet-worm internet-worm bn: Internet Worms in: spread through vulnerabilities in server (or daemon on client machines) in: completely automated -- Windows primary target (is-subclass-of) superclass: internet-worm subclass: warhol-worms warhol-worms oc: http://www.cs.berkeley.edu/~nweaver/warhol.html bn: Warhol worms in: can spread within 15 minutes code-red (internet-worm) oc (media): http://www.eeye.com/html/Research/Flash/AL20030125.html oc (analysis): http://www.renesys.com/projects/bgp_instability/ sql-slammer (internet-worm) oc (exploit): http://groups.google.com/groups?dq=&hl=en&lr=lang_en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&group=microsoft.public.applicationcenter.admin&selm=079201c2c4aa%241877e430%248df82ecf%40TK2MSFTNGXA02 saphhire-sql (internet-worm) oc: http://www.eeye.com/html/Research/Flash/AL20030125.html oc (scanner): http://www.eeye.com/html/Research/Tools/SapphireSQL.html nimda (internet-worm) bn: Nimda sircam (internet-worm) bn: SirCam (is-subclass-of) superclass: malware subclass: virus virus bn: Virus in: spreads via infection vectors: email, netbios file-shares, p2p file sharing oc (monitor): http://www.messagelabs.com/viruseye/ anna-kurnikova (virus) melissa (virus) sobig (virus) mimail (virus) oc (media): http://www.infoworld.com/article/03/10/31/HNnewworm_1.html (is-subclass-of) superclass: malware subclass: webbugs webbugs bn: Web Bugs in: small inline images embedded into HTML email -- notifies sender that email has been 'opened' -- good to validate email addresses in: annoyance and privacy intrusion (is-subclass-of) superclass: malware subclass: spam-email #-- email unusable (is-founded-on) foundation: email-will-by-completely-unusable conclusion: internet-dying email-will-by-completely-unusable (lemma) bn: Email unusable in: worms, virusses (viri) -- innocent victims receive 'echos': complaints that infected email has been sent -- ISP server landscape breaks down (Telstra) in: productivity drain -- forwarding chains by 'executives' -- commercials/infomercials -- staff spends hour on writing/reading email in: spam threat -- even Bayesian filters may not work -- Bill Gates' suggestion of 'certified marketeers' in: no one really answers email anymore #-- majority traffic is useless (is-founded-on) foundation: majority-traffic-useless conclusion: internet-dying majority-traffic-useless (lemma) bn: Majority of Traffic is useless in: inline images make most of the HTTP traffic (80%/20%) in: 15-30% of email is spam (my ratio is 90:10) in: 90% of UseNet traffic is porn, music or video in: 80% of DNS traffic useless in: file-sharing (KaZaa, eDonkey, ...) is becoming more popular oc (use-case): http://www.cit.cornell.edu/computer/students/bandwidth/charts.html (is-supported-by) observation: spam-email-traffic thesis: majority-traffic-useless spam-email-traffic bn: Spam Traffic Statistics in: between 15% and 50% of email traffic is spam oc (example): http://www.thewrightplace.net/stats/spam/spam_spam.html oc (example): http://www.abdn.ac.uk/diss/email/spamstats.hti oc (example): http://www.raunvis.hi.is/spamcount.html oc (example): http://monga.karlus.net/spamassassin/spam_spam.html (is-supported-by) observation: massive-ongoing-scans thesis: majority-traffic-useless massive-ongoing-scans bn: Massive ongoing scans in: single user machine receives 1-10 requests per second -- between 1 and 10 'full scans' per day in: worse for web servers -- scan for vulnerable scripts -- oc (paper): http://project.honeynet.org/papers/stats/ oc (example): http://www.btinternet.com/~shawweb/george/hacks/graphs1.html oc (clearing-house): http://isc.sans.org/ oc (example): http://www.anti-trojan.net/en/reportportsmonth.aspx (is-supported-by) observation: usenet-traffic-statistics thesis: majority-traffic-useless usenet-traffic-statistics oc @ year-1995: http://www.tlsoft.com/arbitron/mar95/mar95_top40_megabytes.html oc (use-case): http://peer-00.news.insnet.cw.net:8080/innreport/ oc @ year-2003: http://peer-00.news.insnet.cw.net:8080/peralthtraf-yesterday.html (is-supported-by) observation: unnecessary-dns-traffic-statistics thesis: majority-traffic-useless unnecessary-dns-traffic-statistics bn: DNS traffic unnecessary oc: http://www.circleid.com/article.php?id=P102_0_1_0_C oc: http://www.caida.org/projects/dns-analysis/ oc (study): http://www.caida.org/~broido/dns/rfc1918.html %cancel